Publications

How Much Should We Trust Instrumental Variable Estimates in Political Science? Practical Advice based on Over 60 Replicated Studies w/ Apoorva Lal, Yiqing Xu, and Ziwen (Gary) Zu. Accepted at Political Analysis.

Link to latest version of paper (March 20, 2023)

How Do General Election Incentives Affect the Visible and Invisible Primary? w/ Seth Hill. 2023. Legislative Studies Quarterly.

Link to published paper. Link to ungated version of paper. Replication archive.

Emotional Reactions to COVID-19 Projections and Consequences for Protective Attitudes and Behavior w/ Jennifer Merolla, Zoe Nemerever, Seth Hill, Thad Kousser, and Mindy Romero. 2023. Political Psychology.

Media: Monkey Cage Post
Link to published paper. Link to ungated version of paper.

Can Addressing Integrity Concerns about Mail Balloting Increase Turnout? Results from a Large-Scale Field Experiment in the 2020 Presidential Election w/ Daniel Biggers, Elizabeth Mitchell Elder, Seth Hill, Thad Kousser and Gabriel Lenz. 2023. Journal of Experimental Political Science.

Link to published paper (Open Access). Replication archive.

Government Preferences, Vote Choice, and Strategic Voting in Canada w/ Alex B. Rivard. 2022. Canadian Journal of Political Science.

Link to published paper (Open Access). Link to ungated version of paper.

How do Americans want elections to be run during the COVID-19 crisis? w/ Thad Kousser, Seth Hill, Jennifer Merolla and Mindy Romero. 2021. Research and Politics.

Link to published paper (Open Access). Replication archive.

How can we increase turnout among Low Propensity Voters? w/ Seth Hill, Thad Kousser, Gabe Lenz and Elizabeth Mitchell Elder. 2020. California Journal of Politics and Policy.

Link to published paper (Open Access).

America’s electorate is increasingly polarized along partisan lines about voting by mail during the COVID-19 crisis w/ Seth Hill, Jennifer Merolla, Mindy Romero and Thad Kousser. 2020. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Media: Monkey Cage Post, Scientific American, UCSD Press Release
Link to published paper (Open Access). Replication archive.

Working Papers

Primary Elections

Do You Know My Name? How local elites influence primary election outcomes.

Job Market Paper.
Link to latest version of paper (August 30, 2022).

Declining Local News Benefits Incumbents and Extremists in Primary Elections

Winner of the Leon Weaver Award for best paper presented in the Representation & Electoral Systems section at the 2021 APSA meetings.
Link to latest version of paper (November 17, 2021).

Primary Campaigns: Advertising strategies in nomination contests.

Link to latest version of paper (April 19, 2023).

Election Policy

Can official messaging on trust in elections break through partisan polarization? w/ Jen Gaudette, Thad Kousser, Seth Hill, and Mindy Romero. Revise and Resubmit at the British Journal of Political Science

OSF Pre-Print

How Federalism Plus Polarization Create Distrust in American Elections (and Experimental Evidence for a Potential Solution) w/ Jen Gaudette, Thad Kousser, Seth Hill, Mindy Romero, and Laura Uribe.

Co-winner of the 2024 State Politics and Policy Quarterly best paper award presented by the APSA State Politics and Policy section.