Publications
Can official messaging on trust in elections break through partisan polarization? w/ Jen Gaudette, Thad Kousser, Seth Hill, and Mindy Romero. Forthcoming at the British Journal of Political Science
Voters distrust delayed election results, but a prebunking message inoculates against distrust w/ Jen Gaudette, Thad Kousser, Seth Hill, Mindy Romero, and Laura Uribe. 2024. PNAS Nexus.
Media: UCSD Press Release, CBS 8 Appearance, New Haven Register article, Slate article, San Diego Union Tribune
Link to published paper (Open Access)
Affluence and the Demand for Policy Improvements: Exploring Elite Beliefs about Vulnerability to Societal Problems. w/ Eric Patashnik and Alan Gerber. 2024. The Forum.
Link to published paper. Link to undated version of paper.
How Much Should We Trust Instrumental Variable Estimates in Political Science? Practical Advice based on Over 60 Replicated Studies w/ Apoorva Lal, Yiqing Xu, and Ziwen (Gary) Zu. Forthcoming at Political Analysis.
Link to published paper (Open Access). Replication archive. Erratum.
How Do General Election Incentives Affect the Visible and Invisible Primary? w/ Seth Hill. 2023. Legislative Studies Quarterly.
Link to published paper. Link to ungated version of paper. Replication archive.
Emotional Reactions to COVID-19 Projections and Consequences for Protective Attitudes and Behavior w/ Jennifer Merolla, Zoe Nemerever, Seth Hill, Thad Kousser, and Mindy Romero. 2023. Political Psychology.
Media: Monkey Cage Post
Link to published paper. Link to ungated version of paper.
Can Addressing Integrity Concerns about Mail Balloting Increase Turnout? Results from a Large-Scale Field Experiment in the 2020 Presidential Election w/ Daniel Biggers, Elizabeth Mitchell Elder, Seth Hill, Thad Kousser and Gabriel Lenz. 2023. Journal of Experimental Political Science.
Link to published paper (Open Access). Replication archive.
Government Preferences, Vote Choice, and Strategic Voting in Canada w/ Alex B. Rivard. 2022. Canadian Journal of Political Science.
Link to published paper (Open Access). Link to ungated version of paper.
How do Americans want elections to be run during the COVID-19 crisis? w/ Thad Kousser, Seth Hill, Jennifer Merolla and Mindy Romero. 2021. Research and Politics.
Link to published paper (Open Access). Replication archive.
How can we increase turnout among Low Propensity Voters? w/ Seth Hill, Thad Kousser, Gabe Lenz and Elizabeth Mitchell Elder. 2020. California Journal of Politics and Policy.
Link to published paper (Open Access).
America’s electorate is increasingly polarized along partisan lines about voting by mail during the COVID-19 crisis w/ Seth Hill, Jennifer Merolla, Mindy Romero and Thad Kousser. 2020. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Media: Monkey Cage Post, Scientific American, UCSD Press Release
Link to published paper (Open Access). Replication archive.
Working Papers
Primary Elections
Information and Political Representation: Evidence from the impact of declining local news on primary elections
Winner of the Leon Weaver Award for best paper presented in the Representation & Electoral Systems section at the 2021 APSA meetings.
Link to latest version of paper (September 1, 2024).
Do You Know My Name? How local elites influence primary election outcomes.
Link to latest version of paper (August 30, 2022).
Primary Campaigns: Advertising strategies in nomination contests.
Link to latest version of paper (April 19, 2023).
Representation
Race, Policy Responsiveness, and Dyadic Representation in U.S. Lawmaking. w/ Agustin Markarian, Jacob Hacker, and Zoltan Hajnal. Revise & Resubmit at the American Political Science Review.
Link to latest version of paper (May 2024).
Policy Shapes Partisan Identi fication: How Dobbs made pre-existing abortion policy preferences relevant to partisanship. w/ Alan Gerber and Gregory Huber. Revise & Resubmit at the Quarterly Journal of Political Science.
Link to latest version of paper (July 2024).
Abortion Policy Preferences are Structured, Stable, and Consequential. w/ Natalie Hernandez, Alan Gerber, and Gregory Huber. Revise & Resubmit at the American Journal of Political Science.
Link to latest version of paper (August 2024).
Election Policy
How Federalism Plus Polarization Create Distrust in American Elections (and Experimental Evidence for a Potential Solution) w/ Jen Gaudette, Thad Kousser, Seth Hill, Mindy Romero, and Laura Uribe.
Co-winner of the 2024 State Politics and Policy Quarterly best paper award presented by the APSA State Politics and Policy section.
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